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Objective@#To investigate the prognostic value of N-terminal B-type natriuretic peptide (NT-proBNP) on all-cause mortality in heart failure patients with preserved ejection fraction (HFpEF) at real world scenarios.@*Methods@#Patients who met the diagnostic criteria of HFpEF in the China National Heart Failure Registration Study (CN-HF) were divided into death and survival groups. The demographic data, physical examination, results of the first echocardiography, laboratory results at admission, complications, drug use and clinical outcomes were obtained from CN-HF. The univariate Cox proportional hazard model was used to screen the variates that might predict prognosis, and then the covariates with statistical significance were included in the multivariate Cox regression model to analyze the predictive value of baseline NT-proBNP on all-cause death. Spearman correlation analysis was used to evaluate the relationship between NT-proBNP and estimated glomerular filtration rate (eGFR), so as to further explore the predictive value of the interaction between renal dysfunction and NT-proBNP on death. Since NT-proBNP did not obey the binary normal distribution, it was expressed by the natural logarithm of NT-proBNP (LnNT-proBNP).@*Results@#A total of 1 846 HFpEF patients were enrolled in this study, with an average age of 71.5 years, 1 017 males(55.1%), median NT-proBNP 860 ng/L, and median eGFR 73.9 ml·min-1·1.73m-2. After a median follow-up of 34 months, 213 (11.5%) patients died. Patients in the death group were older, with higher NYHA classification Ⅲ-Ⅳ ratio, longer hospital stay, higher serum potassium and NT-proBNP level, prevalence of complications of diabetes mellitus, arrhythmia and atrial fibrillation, use of angiotensin receptor antagonist(ARB), mineralocorticoid receptor antagonists (MRA), diuretic and digoxin was significantly higher in death group than in survival group. Body mass index (BMI), diastolic blood pressure, left ventricular ejection fraction (LVEF), hemoglobin, serum cholesterol(TC), serum triglycerides (TG) and eGFR, and use of angiotensin converting enzyme inhibitors (ACEI), statins and aspirin were lower in death group than in survival group. Univariate Cox regression analysis showed that NT-proBNP was a predictor of all-cause death in HFpEF patients (HR=2.522, 95%CI 2.040-3.119, P<0.001). Multivariate Cox regression analysis showed that the elevated NT-proBNP remains as the independent predictor of all-cause death in patients with HFpEF (HR=1.230, 95%CI 1.049-1.442, P=0.011) after adjusting for age, BMI, diastolic blood pressure, LVEF, hemoglobin, serum potassium, serum sodium, TC, serum high-density lipoprotein cholesterol (HDL-C), TG, eGFR, atrial fibrillation, as well as the treatment of ACEI/ARB, MRA, diuretics and digoxin. Spearman correlation analysis showed that LnNT-proBNP was negatively correlated with eGFR (r=-0.361, P<0.001), but there was no interaction between NT-proBNP and renal dysfunction in predicting death in HFpEF patients (P>0.05).@*Conclusion@#The elevated level of NT-proBNP at admission is an independent predictor of all-cause mortality in HFpEF patients.
ABSTRACT
Objective To investigate the status of self‐management of blood pressure (BP) among elderly hypertensive patients living in new rural communities of Shanghai. Methods We enrolled a total of 2 241 hypertensive patients over 60 years old who participated in the National Key Research and Development Project "Cohort study on hypertension" of the 13th Five‐Year Plan in Langxia, Shanghai from May to July 2018. Questionnaires, physical examinations, and laboratory tests were conducted. We collected participants' demographic information, cardiovascular history, and self‐management behaviors related to hypertension. The status of self‐management of BP among participants with hypertension was analyzed. Pearson's chi‐squared test was used to explore the differences between males and females. Results Participants'mean age was (70.0±6.8) years, and males accounted for 38.8% of all participants. The systolic and diastolic BP levels of participants were (147.8±15.4) mmHg (1 mmHg=0.133 kPa) and (82.8±9.8) mmHg, respectively. The systolic blood pressure level of women was higher than that of men, and the diastolic blood pressure level of men was higher; the difference was statistically significant (all P<0.05). The awareness, treatment, and control rate of hypertension were 79.0%, 78.0%, and 25.6%, respectively. Males had a significantly higher control rate than females (P<0.05). The status of self‐management of blood pressure was as follows: (1) As to lifestyle, 84.4% of participants lacked exercise, and 69.2% were overweight or obese. The prevalence of smoking and drinking was higher in males (40.7% and 46.2%, respectively), and the proportion of females (12.4%) with anxiety and/or depression was higher than that of males (P all<0.001). (2) Concerning BP‐monitoring, only 10.1% of participants measured BP every week, 22.9% had BP measurement instruments at home, and 4.6% recorded their BP levels. There was no significant difference in self‐blood pressure monitoring behavior between men and women. (3) Regarding adherence to medication treatment, 97.6% took antihypertensive drugs regularly, and 21.6% were on combination therapy. The proportion of men taking combined drugs was higher than that of women, but there was no significant difference. Conclusions The rates of awareness, treatment, and control of hypertension in elderly hypertensive patients in new rural communities of Shanghai were above the national average. However, the status of self‐management of BP was still not satisfactory. More attention should be paid to healthy lifestyle, home BP monitoring, and effective pharmaceutical treatment strategies for hypertension.
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Objective To examine the existing Framingham Risk Score (FRS) and Chinese Risk Score (CRS) in predicting the development of ischemic cardiovascular diseases (ICVD),and determine potential added value of novel risk factors.Methods The China Multi-Provincial Cohort Study (CMCS) was a population-based prospective cohort study in 11 provinces of China.An annual follow up was conducted in 840 men aged 35 to 64 years in Shanghai cohort,who were without coronary heart disease and stroke at baseline examination in 1992,to collect the incidence data of ICVD events (coronary death,myocardial infarction,and ischemic stroke).The detection of novel risk factors were conducted for the cohort in 2007.The basic Framingham and Chinese prediction scores power were assessed by using C-statistic of ICVD events associated with risk scores,then the novel risk factors were evaluated by adding them independently to the basic Chinese models.The area under the curve (AUC),net reclassification improvement (NRI),and integrated discrimination improvement (IDI) were calculated to determine if each of the novel risk factors improved risk prediction.Results By the end of December 2014,24 cases of coronary heart disease (myocardial infarction or/and coronary death),45 cases of ischemic stroke had occurred in 840 subjects in Shanghai cohort with a follow-up of 22.3 years averagely.Both the FRS and CRS had predicting power for ICVD,the AUCs were 0.657 6 (95％ CI:0.594 2-0.724 0) and 0.726 5 (95％ CI:0.664 3-0.788 7),respectively.The incremental AUC was 0.068 9 (95％ CI:0.019 6-0.117 1) (P=0.006).None of the novel risk factors significantly improved the AUC.High-sensitive-CRP (hs-CRP) was the only novel risk factor resulting in a significant increase of NRI.CRS in 2007 significantly improved the IDI,but net changes were small.Conclusions CRS had high power in the 20-year risk prediction for ICVD in middle-aged men in Shanghai.The inclusion of hs-CRP could make some improvement in risk prediction,but is unlikely to be meaningful when reclassification or new discrimination strategy are made which can change the clinical risk.